SBUX Starbucks Corporation - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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SBUX Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
Consumer Cyclical
Restaurants
Current Price
Live
$92.99
Analyst Target
$95.06
+2.2%
Upside
52W High
$117.46
52W Low
$75.5
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline stability, and a concerning lack of Altman Z-Score data, which raises transparency risks. Despite a current price of $92.99, SBUX trades at a steep valuation with a P/E of 57.05 and a negative Price/Book ratio, while earnings have collapsed YoY by 85.4%. The dividend is unsustainable with a 149.69% payout ratio, and recent quarters show a consistent pattern of earnings misses, including four consecutive estimate beats only once in the last 25 quarters. Although analyst consensus recommends a 'buy' with a $95.06 target, weak profitability trends, deteriorating cash flows, and bearish technicals point to significant overvaluation and elevated downside risk.
Key Strengths
Market leadership in the Consumer Cyclical sector with a $105.74B market cap
Above-sector average profit margin of 4.99% vs. peer average of 2.00%
Dividend yield of 2.66% provides some income appeal
Revenue growth remains positive at 5.50% YoY despite earnings collapse
Analyst target price implies slight upside to $95.06
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4 indicates weak financial health and poor earnings quality
Earnings growth down 85.4% YoY with consistent negative surprises over the last four quarters
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 149.69% threatens future distributions
Extremely high P/E of 57.05 vs. sector average of 37.67, suggesting severe overvaluation
Negative Price/Book ratio (-13.06) implies negative shareholder equity, a critical red flag
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$11.41
-87.7% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional AI analysis across 5 key categories
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
Profitability, Growth & Financial Health
Detailed profit margins, ROE, debt ratios, and liquidity metrics
Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis
Compare SBUX against industry averages and similar companies
Insider Trading & Analyst Ratings
Track insider transactions and Wall Street analyst recommendations
Past News Coverage
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