SBUX

BEARISH

$97.89 Live

Starbucks Corporation · NASDAQ

Target $101.41 (+3.6%)

$75.5 52W Range $104.82

SBUX Starbucks Corporation - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH

Console Chart News

SBUX Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights

NASDAQ • Consumer Cyclical • Restaurants

Current Price Live

$97.89

Analyst Target

$101.41

+3.6% Upside

52W High

$104.82

52W Low

$75.5

Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 28, 2026

Market cap

$111.53B

P/E

81.58

ROE

N/A

Profit margin

3.6%

Debt/Equity

N/A

Dividend yield

2.53%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence

90%

SBUX exhibits significant fundamental deterioration, anchored by a stable but mediocre Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a critical disconnect between its current price ($97.89) and growth-based intrinsic value ($8.4). The company is facing a severe earnings crisis with YoY earnings growth plummeting -62.5% and a 0% beat rate over the last four quarters. Most alarming is the unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 204.17% and negative book value, suggesting the current valuation is supported by brand sentiment rather than financial reality.

Key Strengths

Maintains positive revenue growth (5.5% YoY)

Strong global brand recognition and market capitalization ($111.53B)

Recent short-term price momentum (1-month change +12.8%)

Positive analyst sentiment with a 'Buy' consensus

Stable operating margin of 9.26%

Key Risks

Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (204.17%)

Severe earnings contraction (-62.5% YoY)

Negative shareholder equity (Price/Book: -13.29)

Consistent failure to meet earnings estimates (0/4 beats in last 4 quarters)

Bearish insider activity with zero buy transactions in 6 months

AI Fair Value Estimate

Based on comprehensive analysis

$32.5

-66.8% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall

Weak

Value

Future

Past

Health

Dividend

AI Verdict

Fundamental Decay

Key drivers: Negative Equity, Earnings Collapse, Dividend Instability, Valuation Gap

Confidence

85%

Value

15/100

Ref P/E 81.58, PEG 1.70, Intrinsic Value $8.4

Positives

Forward P/E (33.64) is lower than trailing

Watchpoints

Trailing P/E of 81.58 is extreme
Price/Book is negative
Massive premium over intrinsic value

Future

30/100

Ref Growth rates and Earnings Track Record

Positives

Modest revenue growth (5.5%)

Watchpoints

Earnings growth -62.5%
Consistent earnings misses (-12.03% avg surprise)

Past

50/100

Ref Historical price performance and EPS surprises

Positives

Historical brand dominance
Positive 1Y return (+19.9%)

Watchpoints

Negative 3Y and 5Y returns
Recent trend of missing estimates

Health

40/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score and Price/Book

Positives

Piotroski F-Score 4/9 (Stable)

Watchpoints

Negative Book Value
Low Quick Ratio (0.42)

Dividend

10/100

Ref Yield 2.53%, Payout 204.17%

Positives

Yield of 2.53% is attractive on surface

Watchpoints

Payout ratio of 204.17% is fundamentally unsustainable

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price

$97.89

Analyst Target

$101.41

Upside/Downside

+3.6%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for SBUX and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-27

Company	5Y	3Y	1Y	6M	1M	1W
SBUX Starbucks Corporation Primary	-2.3%	-7.8%	+19.9%	+13.8%	+12.8%	-1.1%
LOW Lowe's Companies, Inc. Peer	+33.7%	+22.7%	+2.9%	-4.0%	-8.2%	-0.1%
MELI MercadoLibre, Inc. Peer	+14.5%	+31.2%	-11.4%	-26.0%	-2.7%	+7.3%
BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. Peer	+80.5%	+68.3%	-8.6%	-15.2%	+9.2%	-7.6%
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. Peer	+221.3%	+79.6%	+21.0%	+7.3%	-3.2%	+1.8%

SBU

Starbucks Corporation

Primary

-2.3%

-7.8%

+19.9%

+13.8%

+12.8%

-1.1%

LOW

Lowe's Companies, Inc.

Peer

+33.7%

+22.7%

+2.9%

-4.0%

-8.2%

-0.1%

MEL

MercadoLibre, Inc.

Peer

+14.5%

+31.2%

-11.4%

-26.0%

-2.7%

+7.3%

BKN

Booking Holdings Inc.

Peer

+80.5%

+68.3%

-8.6%

-15.2%

+9.2%

-7.6%

ORL

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

Peer

+221.3%

+79.6%

+21.0%

+7.3%

-3.2%

+1.8%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

81.58

33.64

1.7

-13.29

2.96

3.54

25.19

$111.53B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 3.63%

Operating Margin 9.26%

Gross Margin 22.17%

ROE N/A

ROA 6.87%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +5.5%

Earnings Growth -62.5%

Q/Q Revenue Growth +5.5%

Q/Q Earnings Growth -62.4%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity

N/A

Current Ratio

1.05

Good

Quick Ratio

0.42

Poor

Cash/Share

$3.16

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue

$9.9B

Gross Margin

21.1%

Op. Margin

9.3%

Net Margin

3.0%

Total Assets

$32.2B

Liabilities

$40.6B

Equity

$-8.4B

Debt/Equity

-4.84x

Operating CF

$1.6B

CapEx

$-0.3B

Free Cash Flow

$1.3B

FCF Yield

80%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-28

$N/A

2026-01-28

$0.56

-4.6% surprise

2025-10-29

$0.52

-6.5% surprise

2025-07-29

$0.49

-25.0% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing SBUX against 386 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (23 bullish, 133 neutral, 230 bearish)

P/E Ratio

81.58

This Stock

33.98

Sector Avg

+140.1% (Expensive)

Profit Margin

3.63%

This Stock

-5.4%

Sector Avg

-167.3% (Weaker)

Revenue Growth

5.5%

This Stock

28.42%

Sector Avg

-80.7% (Slower)

Current Ratio

1.05

This Stock

2.46

Sector Avg

-57.4% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company	AI Rating	Market Cap	P/E	ROE	Profit Margin	Price
SBUX Starbucks Corporation	BEARISH	$111.53B	81.58	-%	3.6%	$97.89
LOW Lowe's Companies, Inc.	NEUTRAL	$132.37B	19.9	-%	7.7%	$235.98	Compare
MELI MercadoLibre, Inc.	NEUTRAL	$87.66B	41.15	36.0%	6.9%	$1729.02	Compare
BKNG Booking Holdings Inc.	BULLISH	$138.14B	26.82	-%	20.1%	$177.52	Compare
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.	BULLISH	$83.4B	34.31	-%	14.2%	$98.8	Compare

SBUX Starbucks Corporation

BEARISH

Mkt Cap

$111.5B

P/E

81.6

ROE

Price

$97.89

LOW Lowe's Companies, Inc.

Compare with SBUX

MELI MercadoLibre, Inc.

Compare with SBUX

BKNG Booking Holdings Inc.

Compare with SBUX

Compare with SBUX

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date	Insider	Position	Transaction	Shares	Value
2026-04-17	BREWER BRADY	Officer	Sale	588	$58,800
2026-04-06	BREWER BRADY	Officer	Sale	1,641	$147,690
2026-03-25	ALLISON RICHARD E JR	Director	Stock Award	3,991	-
2026-03-25	CAMPION ANDREW	Director	Stock Award	4,099	-
2026-03-25	MOYO DAMBISA F	Director	Stock Award	2,265	-
2026-03-25	KNUDSTORP JORGEN VIG	Director	Stock Award	4,746	-
2026-03-25	MOHAN NEAL	Director	Stock Award	3,667	-
2026-03-25	ZHANG WEI	Director	Stock Award	3,667	-
2026-03-25	SERVITJE DANIEL	Director	Stock Award	3,667	-
2026-03-25	MAYER MARISSA A	Director	Stock Award	3,667	-
2026-03-25	SIEVERT G MICHAEL	Director	Stock Award	3,667	-
2026-03-25	FORD BETH E	Director	Stock Award	3,937	-
2026-03-09	BREWER BRADY	Officer	Sale	588	$58,800
2026-03-05	KELLY SARA	Officer	Sale	2,500	$242,800
2026-03-05	BREWER BRADY	Officer	Sale	1,641	$159,374

BREWER BRADY

Officer

Sell

2026-04-17

588 shares · $58,800

BREWER BRADY

Officer

Sell

2026-04-06

1,641 shares · $147,690

ALLISON RICHARD E JR

Director

Stock Award

2026-03-25

3,991 shares

CAMPION ANDREW

Director

Stock Award

2026-03-25

4,099 shares

MOYO DAMBISA F

Director

Stock Award

2026-03-25

2,265 shares

KNUDSTORP JORGEN VIG

Director

Stock Award

2026-03-25

4,746 shares

MOHAN NEAL

Director

Stock Award

2026-03-25

3,667 shares

ZHANG WEI

Director

Stock Award

2026-03-25

3,667 shares

SERVITJE DANIEL

Director

Stock Award

2026-03-25

3,667 shares

MAYER MARISSA A

Director

Stock Award

2026-03-25

3,667 shares

SIEVERT G MICHAEL

Director

Stock Award

2026-03-25

3,667 shares

FORD BETH E

Director

Stock Award

2026-03-25

3,937 shares

BREWER BRADY

Officer

Sell

2026-03-09

588 shares · $58,800

KELLY SARA

Officer

Sell

2026-03-05

2,500 shares · $242,800

BREWER BRADY

Officer

Sell

2026-03-05

1,641 shares · $159,374

Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K

2026-04-02

Starbucks Corporation filed an 8-K on April 2, 2026, likely to announce its second-quarter financial results.

8-K

2026-03-30

Starbucks Corporation filed an 8-K likely to announce its second-quarter financial results for fiscal year 2026.

8-K

2026-01-28

Starbucks Corporation likely filed this 8-K to announce its first-quarter financial results for fiscal year 2026.

10-Q

2026-01-28

Starbucks filed its 10-Q on January 28, 2026, which includes sections for risk factors and unregistered sales of equity securities. The provided excerpt is limited to the table of contents and does not contain specific financial highlights or detailed risk descriptions.

DEF 14A

PROXY STATEMENT

2026-01-26

Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) filed a definitive proxy statement on January 26, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information to vote on matters at the company's annual meeting.

8-K/A

2025-11-17

Starbucks Corporation filed an amendment to a previously submitted current report on November 17, 2025.

10-K

2025-11-14

Starbucks Corporation filed its 10-K on November 14, 2025, which includes standard disclosures regarding its financial condition, market risks, and operational results. The provided excerpts consist of the filing's table of contents and do not contain specific financial figures or detailed risk descriptions.

8-K

2025-11-03

Starbucks Corporation likely filed this 8-K to announce its fiscal fourth quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K

2025-10-29

Starbucks Corporation filed an 8-K to report its fourth quarter and full-year fiscal 2025 financial results.

8-K

2025-09-25

8-K

2025-07-29

10-Q

2025-07-29

8-K

2025-07-02

8-K

2025-06-30

8-K

2025-06-26

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus

BUY

34 analysts

JP Morgan

2026-04-24

Maintains

Overweight Overweight

DA Davidson

2026-04-22

Maintains

Neutral Neutral

Stifel

2026-04-21

Maintains

Buy Buy

Citigroup

2026-04-14

Maintains

Neutral Neutral

Jefferies

2026-04-13

Underperform Hold

RBC Capital

2026-03-18

down

Outperform Sector Perform

Freedom Broker

2026-03-11

Maintains

Hold Hold

DA Davidson

2026-03-06

init

Neutral

Guggenheim

2026-03-05

Maintains

Neutral Neutral

Citigroup

2026-02-02

Maintains

Neutral Neutral

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning SBUX from our newsroom.

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SBUX

SBUX Starbucks Corporation - Fundamental Analysis

At a glance

AI Analysis

Key Strengths

Key Risks

Performance Snowflake

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Historical Performance Trends

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Valuation Metrics

Profitability

Growth

Financial Health

Financial Statement Flow

Quarterly Earnings History

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Similar Companies

Recent Insider Trading

SEC Filings

Wall Street Analysts

Past News Coverage

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