ACI Albertsons Companies, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
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ACI Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Consumer Defensive
Grocery Stores
Current Price
Live
$17.06
Analyst Target
$22.0
+29.0%
Upside
52W High
$23.2
52W Low
$15.8
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$9.37B
P/E
11.15
ROE
29.7%
Profit margin
1.1%
Debt/Equity
6.17
Dividend yield
3.49%
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
ACI's deterministic health score is weak, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating borderline financial stability and no available Altman Z-Score to assess bankruptcy risk. Despite a low forward P/E of 7.42 and a Graham Number of $12.95 suggesting overvaluation, the stock trades at $17.06, implying market optimism. Strong ROE of 29.65% and consistent earnings beats contrast with declining earnings growth and high leverage (Debt/Equity: 6.17), while insider selling and bearish technicals weigh on sentiment. Analysts recommend a 'buy' with a $22.00 target, but financial health concerns and mixed momentum create a balanced outlook.
Key Strengths
High ROE of 29.65% indicates strong return on equity relative to peers
Consistent earnings beat rate: 3 out of last 4 quarters exceeded estimates
Attractive dividend yield of 3.49% with sustainable 38.96% payout ratio
Forward P/E of 7.42 is significantly below sector average of 33.52
Analyst recommendation is 'buy' with a $22.00 average target price
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health and operational instability
Extremely high Debt/Equity ratio of 6.17 raises solvency and refinancing risks
Current Ratio of 0.91 and Quick Ratio of 0.16 signal near-term liquidity pressure
Earnings growth declining YoY (-20.30%) and QoQ (-26.80%) despite recent EPS surprises
Insider selling activity: $7.58M in sales over last 6 months with no buys
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$12.95
-24.1% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
57
Moderate
75
45
60
35
70
AI Verdict
Neutral with upside potential if financial health improves
Key drivers: Low valuation multiples, High insider selling, Strong ROE and dividend, Weak Piotroski score, Bearish technical trend
Confidence
70%
Value
75/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Forward P/E of 7.42 is well below sector average of 33.52
- Price/Sales of 0.11 indicates deep discount to revenue
Watchpoints
- Price ($17.06) trades above Graham Number ($12.95), suggesting overvaluation on defensive criteria
Future
45/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Analyst target implies 29% upside to $22.00
- Recent EPS surprises show earnings resilience
Watchpoints
- Earnings growth is negative YoY (-20.30%) and QoQ (-26.80%)
- Revenue growth sluggish at 1.90% YoY
Past
60/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Long history of beating earnings estimates (20+ quarters with positive surprises)
- 5Y price return of +36.2% outperforms sector average
Watchpoints
- 3Y and 1Y returns are negative (-13.2%, -11.2%) indicating recent underperformance
Health
35/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- ROA of 4.25% is positive and above sector average
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
- Debt/Equity of 6.17 is extremely high
- Current and Quick Ratios below 1.0 signal liquidity risk
Dividend
70/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Dividend yield of 3.49% is attractive in current rate environment
- Payout ratio of 38.96% is sustainable
Watchpoints
- Dividend Strength score is only 50/100, suggesting uncertainty in long-term coverage
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$17.06
Analyst Target
$22.0
Upside/Downside
+29.0%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ACI and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ACI
Albertsons Companies, Inc.
Primary
|
+36.2% | -13.2% | -11.2% | -14.0% | -1.3% | -1.5% |
|
BF-B
Brown-Forman Corporation
Peer
|
-57.8% | -56.3% | -14.3% | -9.6% | +2.5% | +4.4% |
|
BJ
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.
Peer
|
+124.1% | +40.4% | +0.4% | -6.5% | +3.1% | +4.3% |
|
BF-A
Brown-Forman Corporation
Peer
|
-53.5% | -55.7% | -13.0% | -8.0% | +4.2% | +4.7% |
|
AKO-B
Embotelladora Andina S.A.
Peer
|
+198.5% | +156.0% | +67.2% | +38.1% | +12.6% | +2.4% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
11.15
Forward P/E
7.42
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
3.5
P/S Ratio
0.11
EV/Revenue
0.29
EV/EBITDA
6.65
Market Cap
$9.37B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
1.06%
Operating Margin
2.89%
Gross Margin
27.12%
ROE
29.65%
ROA
4.25%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+1.9%
Earnings Growth
-20.3%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-26.8%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
6.17
High debt
Current Ratio
0.91
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.16
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.41
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-04-14
$N/A
2026-01-07
$0.72
+5.6% surprise
2025-10-14
$0.44
+10.6% surprise
2025-07-15
$0.55
+1.7% surprise
Consumer Defensive Sector Comparison
Comparing ACI against 48 companies in the Consumer Defensive sector
(3 bullish, 26 neutral, 19 bearish)
P/E Ratio
11.15
This Stock
vs
28.82
Sector Avg
-61.3%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
29.65%
This Stock
vs
4.7%
Sector Avg
+531.2%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
1.06%
This Stock
vs
-1.11%
Sector Avg
-195.6%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
6.17
This Stock
vs
1.71
Sector Avg
+260.2%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
1.9%
This Stock
vs
9.45%
Sector Avg
-79.9%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.91
This Stock
vs
1.97
Sector Avg
-54.0%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ACI
Albertsons Companies, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $9.37B | 11.15 | 29.7% | 1.1% | $17.06 | |
|
BF-B
Brown-Forman Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $12.77B | 16.31 | 20.7% | 20.8% | $27.57 | |
|
BJ
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $12.84B | 22.45 | 29.2% | 2.7% | $97.45 | |
|
BF-A
Brown-Forman Corporation
|
BEARISH | $12.91B | 16.49 | 20.7% | 20.8% | $27.86 | |
|
AKO-B
Embotelladora Andina S.A.
|
NEUTRAL | $4.85B | 16.44 | 24.7% | 7.9% | $30.75 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-14 | THEILMANN MICHAEL T | Officer | Sale | 49,000 | $863,767 |
| 2025-12-01 | MCCOLLAM SHARON L | President | Option Exercise | 1,232 | $22,299 |
| 2025-12-01 | MORRIS SUSAN | Chief Executive Officer | Option Exercise | 1,286 | $23,277 |
| 2025-12-01 | DHANDA ANUJ | Officer | Option Exercise | 1,026 | $18,571 |
| 2025-12-01 | RAINWATER EVAN | Officer | Option Exercise | 529 | $9,575 |
| 2025-12-01 | MORIARTY THOMAS M | Officer | Option Exercise | 1,177 | $21,304 |
| 2025-12-01 | WITHERS MICHAEL | Officer | Option Exercise | 172 | $3,113 |
| 2025-10-17 | LARSON ROBERT BRUCE | Officer | Sale | 17,815 | $351,846 |
| 2025-10-16 | THEILMANN MICHAEL T | Officer | Sale | 100,000 | $1,935,100 |
| 2025-10-16 | DHANDA ANUJ | Officer | Sale | 230,000 | $4,427,270 |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
17 analysts
Morgan Stanley
2026-01-15
Equal-Weight
Underweight
JP Morgan
2026-01-08
Overweight
Overweight
UBS
2026-01-08
Buy
Buy
Barclays
2026-01-08
Underweight
Underweight
Wells Fargo
2026-01-08
Overweight
Overweight
BMO Capital
2026-01-08
Outperform
Outperform
Telsey Advisory Group
2026-01-08
Outperform
Outperform
Telsey Advisory Group
2025-12-31
Outperform
Outperform
Evercore ISI Group
2025-12-23
In-Line
In-Line
Evercore ISI Group
2025-11-11
In-Line
In-Line
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning ACI from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.