ACI
NEUTRAL
$16.85
Live
Albertsons Companies, Inc. · NYSE
Target $22.06
(+30.9%)
$15.8
52W Range
$22.78
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 14, 2026
Market cap
$9.26B
P/E
11.23
ROE
29.7%
Profit margin
1.1%
Debt/Equity
6.17
Dividend yield
3.47%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
ACI exhibits a stable but fragile financial profile, evidenced by a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a concerning lack of liquidity. The stock is currently trading at a significant premium to its Graham Number ($12.82) and Intrinsic Value ($10.50), suggesting it is overvalued based on deterministic metrics. While the company maintains a stellar track record of beating earnings estimates over 24 quarters, this is offset by extreme leverage (Debt/Equity 6.17) and negative YoY earnings growth. The divergence between bullish analyst targets and bearish insider/technical signals suggests a high-risk environment.
Key Strengths
Exceptional earnings surprise track record (beating estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters and consistently over 24 quarters)
Low Forward P/E ratio of 7.35, indicating potential value if growth stabilizes
High Return on Equity (ROE) of 29.65%
Sustainable dividend payout ratio of 38.96%
Defensive industry positioning within the grocery sector
Key Risks
Extreme financial leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 6.17
Severe liquidity risk indicated by a Quick Ratio of 0.16
Negative YoY earnings growth of -20.30%
Current price ($16.85) is significantly higher than the Graham Number ($12.82)
Bearish technical trend (0/100) and negative insider sentiment
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$12.15
-27.9% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
49
Moderate
35
30
85
25
70
AI Verdict
High Risk / Value Gap
Key drivers: Extreme leverage, Overvaluation relative to Graham Number, Consistent EPS beats, Negative earnings growth
Confidence
90%
Value
35/100
Ref P/E 11.23, Graham Number $12.82
Positives
- Low Forward P/E
Watchpoints
- Price exceeds Graham Number by ~31%
- Price exceeds Intrinsic Value by ~60%
Future
30/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Positive revenue growth (1.90%)
Watchpoints
- Negative YoY Earnings Growth (-20.30%)
- Negative Q/Q Earnings Growth (-26.80%)
Past
85/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Consistent history of EPS surprises over 24 quarters
- Strong ROE
Watchpoints
- Recent 1Y price decline of -19.4%
Health
25/100
Ref Piotroski F-Score, Debt/Equity
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 (Stable)
Watchpoints
- Debt/Equity of 6.17
- Quick Ratio of 0.16
- Current Ratio below 1.0
Dividend
70/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Healthy 3.47% yield
- Conservative payout ratio (38.96%)
Watchpoints
- Dividend strength score 50/100
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$16.85
Analyst Target
$22.06
Upside/Downside
+30.9%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ACI and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-13
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ACI
Albertsons Companies, Inc.
Primary
|
+28.0% | -11.9% | -19.4% | +1.1% | -2.4% | -6.3% |
|
OLLI
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
Peer
|
-0.5% | +57.4% | -16.8% | -24.5% | -10.7% | -2.1% |
|
BF-B
Brown-Forman Corporation
Peer
|
-57.8% | -56.3% | -14.3% | -9.6% | +2.5% | +4.4% |
|
BJ
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.
Peer
|
+124.1% | +40.4% | +0.4% | -6.5% | +3.1% | +4.3% |
|
BF-A
Brown-Forman Corporation
Peer
|
-53.5% | -55.7% | -13.0% | -8.0% | +4.2% | +4.7% |
ACI
Albertsons Companies, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+28.0%
3Y
-11.9%
1Y
-19.4%
6M
+1.1%
1M
-2.4%
1W
-6.3%
OLL
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-0.5%
3Y
+57.4%
1Y
-16.8%
6M
-24.5%
1M
-10.7%
1W
-2.1%
BF-
Brown-Forman Corporation
Peer
5Y
-57.8%
3Y
-56.3%
1Y
-14.3%
6M
-9.6%
1M
+2.5%
1W
+4.4%
BJ
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+124.1%
3Y
+40.4%
1Y
+0.4%
6M
-6.5%
1M
+3.1%
1W
+4.3%
BF-
Brown-Forman Corporation
Peer
5Y
-53.5%
3Y
-55.7%
1Y
-13.0%
6M
-8.0%
1M
+4.2%
1W
+4.7%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
11.23
Forward P/E
7.35
PEG Ratio
1.49
P/B Ratio
3.46
P/S Ratio
0.11
EV/Revenue
0.29
EV/EBITDA
6.62
Market Cap
$9.26B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
1.06%
Operating Margin
2.89%
Gross Margin
27.12%
ROE
29.65%
ROA
4.25%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+1.9%
Earnings Growth
-20.3%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+1.86%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-26.8%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
6.17
High debt
Current Ratio
0.91
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.16
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.41
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$19.1B
Gross Margin
27.4%
Op. Margin
2.6%
Net Margin
1.5%
Total Assets
$27.1B
Liabilities
$24.6B
Equity
$2.5B
Debt/Equity
9.83x
Operating CF
$0.4B
CapEx
$-0.5B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.1B
FCF Yield
-26%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-04-14
$N/A
2026-01-07
$0.72
+5.6% surprise
2025-10-14
$0.44
+10.6% surprise
2025-07-15
$0.55
+1.7% surprise
Consumer Defensive Sector Comparison
Comparing ACI against 103 companies in the Consumer Defensive sector
(5 bullish, 43 neutral, 55 bearish)
P/E Ratio
11.23
This Stock
vs
31.13
Sector Avg
-63.9%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
29.65%
This Stock
vs
-21.26%
Sector Avg
-239.5%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
1.06%
This Stock
vs
-6.73%
Sector Avg
-115.8%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
6.17
This Stock
vs
1.57
Sector Avg
+291.7%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
1.9%
This Stock
vs
181.5%
Sector Avg
-99.0%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.91
This Stock
vs
2.26
Sector Avg
-59.9%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ACI
Albertsons Companies, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $9.26B | 11.23 | 29.7% | 1.1% | $16.85 | |
|
OLLI
Ollie's Bargain Outlet...
|
NEUTRAL | $5.84B | 24.48 | 13.4% | 9.1% | $95.23 | Compare |
|
BF-B
Brown-Forman Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $12.77B | 16.31 | 20.7% | 20.8% | $27.57 | Compare |
|
BJ
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $12.84B | 22.45 | 29.2% | 2.7% | $97.45 | Compare |
|
BF-A
Brown-Forman Corporation
|
BEARISH | $12.91B | 16.49 | 20.7% | 20.8% | $27.86 | Compare |
ACI
Albertsons...
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$9.3B
P/E
11.2
ROE
29.7%
Price
$16.85
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-02 | FENNEBRESQUE KIM S | Director | Stock Award | 14,629 | - |
| 2026-03-02 | SCHUMACHER ALAN H | Director | Stock Award | 9,471 | - |
| 2026-03-02 | MCCOLLAM SHARON L | President | Option Exercise | 105,635 | $1,890,866 |
| 2026-03-02 | TURNER BRIAN KEVIN | Director | Stock Award | 9,471 | - |
| 2026-03-02 | STONE WEST MARY ELIZABETH | Director | Stock Award | 9,471 | - |
| 2026-03-02 | ZINSNER DAVID A | Director | Stock Award | 4,680 | - |
| 2026-03-02 | LARSON ROBERT BRUCE | Officer | Option Exercise | 18,704 | $334,802 |
| 2026-03-02 | WILLE SCOTT | Director | Stock Award | 3,081 | - |
| 2026-03-02 | ALLEN SHARON L | Director | Stock Award | 9,471 | - |
| 2026-03-02 | MORRIS SUSAN | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 161,920 | - |
| 2026-03-02 | DHANDA ANUJ | Chief Technology Officer | Stock Award | 72,820 | - |
| 2026-03-02 | BRUNO FRANK W. | Director | Stock Award | 9,471 | - |
| 2026-03-02 | RAINWATER EVAN | Officer | Stock Award | 41,014 | - |
| 2026-03-02 | MORIARTY THOMAS M | Officer | Option Exercise | 84,265 | $1,508,344 |
| 2026-03-02 | MENSAH SARAH | Director | Stock Award | 9,471 | - |
FENNEBRESQUE KIM S
Director
2026-03-02
14,629 shares
SCHUMACHER ALAN H
Director
2026-03-02
9,471 shares
MCCOLLAM SHARON L
President
2026-03-02
105,635 shares
·
$1,890,866
TURNER BRIAN KEVIN
Director
2026-03-02
9,471 shares
STONE WEST MARY ELIZABETH
Director
2026-03-02
9,471 shares
ZINSNER DAVID A
Director
2026-03-02
4,680 shares
LARSON ROBERT BRUCE
Officer
2026-03-02
18,704 shares
·
$334,802
WILLE SCOTT
Director
2026-03-02
3,081 shares
ALLEN SHARON L
Director
2026-03-02
9,471 shares
MORRIS SUSAN
Chief Executive Officer
2026-03-02
161,920 shares
DHANDA ANUJ
Chief Technology Officer
2026-03-02
72,820 shares
BRUNO FRANK W.
Director
2026-03-02
9,471 shares
RAINWATER EVAN
Officer
2026-03-02
41,014 shares
MORIARTY THOMAS M
Officer
2026-03-02
84,265 shares
·
$1,508,344
MENSAH SARAH
Director
2026-03-02
9,471 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
17 analysts
RBC Capital
2026-04-06
Outperform
Outperform
Evercore ISI Group
2026-03-17
In-Line
In-Line
Morgan Stanley
2026-01-15
Equal-Weight
Underweight
JP Morgan
2026-01-08
Overweight
Overweight
UBS
2026-01-08
Buy
Buy
Barclays
2026-01-08
Underweight
Underweight
Wells Fargo
2026-01-08
Overweight
Overweight
BMO Capital
2026-01-08
Outperform
Outperform
Telsey Advisory Group
2026-01-08
Outperform
Outperform
Telsey Advisory Group
2025-12-31
Outperform
Outperform
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning ACI from our newsroom.
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