CVNA
NEUTRAL
$409.08
Live
Carvana Co. · NYSE
Target $425.32
(+4.0%)
$229.4
52W Range
$486.89
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 26, 2026
Market cap
$58.5B
P/E
48.3
ROE
67.9%
Profit margin
6.9%
Debt/Equity
1.33
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
CVNA presents a stark dichotomy between explosive growth and fragile fundamental health, evidenced by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 3/9. While the company has achieved massive earnings growth (946.7% YoY) and strong liquidity (Current Ratio 4.31), it trades at a severe premium to its Graham Number ($67.9) and Intrinsic Value ($249.87). The current price of $409.08 reflects high growth expectations that are not yet supported by deterministic health metrics or insider conviction. Consequently, the stock is a high-momentum play with significant underlying fundamental risk.
Key Strengths
Exceptional YoY earnings growth of 946.70%
Strong revenue growth (58%) indicating market share expansion
High liquidity with a Current Ratio of 4.31
Significant ROE of 67.95% indicating efficient capital use on a reduced equity base
Positive analyst consensus with a target price ($425.32) above current levels
Key Risks
Weak Piotroski F-Score (3/9) indicating poor fundamental health trends
Extreme valuation premium (P/B of 16.91 and price far exceeding Graham Number)
Bearish insider sentiment with 9 sell transactions and 0 buys
High sensitivity to consumer cyclical trends in the auto industry
Historical volatility in earnings with a track record of significant misses
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$275.0
-32.8% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
36
Weak
20
90
40
30
0
AI Verdict
Speculative Growth
Key drivers: Hyper-growth in EPS, Fundamental health deterioration (Piotroski), Extreme valuation gap
Confidence
90%
Value
20/100
Ref P/E 48.30, Graham Number $67.9
Positives
- Forward P/E is lower than trailing P/E
Watchpoints
- P/B ratio of 16.91 is excessive
- Price is ~6x the Graham Number
- Significant premium over intrinsic value
Future
90/100
Ref Earnings Growth 946.70%
Positives
- Massive Q/Q and YoY earnings acceleration
- Strong revenue growth trajectory
Watchpoints
- Sustainability of 900%+ growth is questionable
Past
40/100
Ref 25-quarter earnings track record
Positives
- Successful pivot from deep losses to profitability
Watchpoints
- Long history of negative EPS surprises
- High historical volatility
Health
30/100
Ref Piotroski F-Score 3/9
Positives
- Strong Current Ratio (4.31)
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 is in the 'Weak' category
- Debt/Equity of 1.33 is moderate but adds risk in cyclical downturns
Dividend
0/100
Ref Dividend Yield N/A
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend payments
- Zero payout ratio
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$409.08
Analyst Target
$425.32
Upside/Downside
+4.0%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for CVNA and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-24
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
CVNA
Carvana Co.
Primary
|
+39.0% | +5318.3% | +74.1% | +16.5% | +32.6% | +5.6% |
|
RACE
Ferrari N.V.
Peer
|
+70.7% | +29.5% | -19.6% | -29.9% | -5.3% | +6.6% |
|
AZO
AutoZone, Inc.
Peer
|
+209.3% | +58.0% | +9.7% | -3.2% | +7.1% | +5.0% |
|
HLT
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
Peer
|
+156.1% | +96.3% | +8.1% | +5.6% | +1.7% | -1.3% |
|
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
Peer
|
-63.0% | -60.5% | -28.1% | -38.0% | -25.6% | -14.3% |
CVN
Carvana Co.
Primary
5Y
+39.0%
3Y
+5318.3%
1Y
+74.1%
6M
+16.5%
1M
+32.6%
1W
+5.6%
RAC
Ferrari N.V.
Peer
5Y
+70.7%
3Y
+29.5%
1Y
-19.6%
6M
-29.9%
1M
-5.3%
1W
+6.6%
AZO
AutoZone, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+209.3%
3Y
+58.0%
1Y
+9.7%
6M
-3.2%
1M
+7.1%
1W
+5.0%
HLT
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
Peer
5Y
+156.1%
3Y
+96.3%
1Y
+8.1%
6M
+5.6%
1M
+1.7%
1W
-1.3%
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-63.0%
3Y
-60.5%
1Y
-28.1%
6M
-38.0%
1M
-25.6%
1W
-14.3%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
48.3
Forward P/E
38.54
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
16.91
P/S Ratio
2.88
EV/Revenue
3.05
EV/EBITDA
28.69
Market Cap
$58.5B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
6.92%
Operating Margin
7.57%
Gross Margin
20.63%
ROE
67.95%
ROA
10.86%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+58.0%
Earnings Growth
+946.7%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+57.96%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+984.8%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
1.33
Moderate
Current Ratio
4.31
Strong
Quick Ratio
2.02
Excellent
Cash/Share
$19.71
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$5.6B
Gross Margin
18.8%
Op. Margin
7.6%
Net Margin
15.3%
Total Assets
$13.2B
Liabilities
$9.0B
Equity
$3.4B
Debt/Equity
2.61x
Operating CF
$0.4B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.4B
FCF Yield
88%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-04-29
$N/A
2026-02-18
$4.22
+279.2% surprise
2025-10-29
$1.03
-22.0% surprise
2025-07-30
$1.28
+12.3% surprise
Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison
Comparing CVNA against 353 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector
(23 bullish, 111 neutral, 219 bearish)
P/E Ratio
48.3
This Stock
vs
34.01
Sector Avg
+42.0%
(Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
67.95%
This Stock
vs
-48.88%
Sector Avg
-239.0%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
6.92%
This Stock
vs
-6.31%
Sector Avg
-209.7%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.33
This Stock
vs
1.54
Sector Avg
-13.6%
(Lower)
Revenue Growth
58.0%
This Stock
vs
30.61%
Sector Avg
+89.5%
(Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
4.31
This Stock
vs
2.42
Sector Avg
+78.2%
(Stronger)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
CVNA
Carvana Co.
|
NEUTRAL | $58.5B | 48.3 | 67.9% | 6.9% | $409.08 | |
|
RACE
Ferrari N.V.
|
NEUTRAL | $61.17B | 33.48 | 42.9% | 22.3% | $343.5 | Compare |
|
AZO
AutoZone, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $61.54B | 25.77 | -% | 12.8% | $3700.0 | Compare |
|
HLT
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $62.73B | 39.2 | -% | 34.2% | $269.67 | Compare |
|
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $67.25B | 26.56 | 17.9% | 5.4% | $45.43 | Compare |
CVNA
Carvana Co.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$58.5B
P/E
48.3
ROE
67.9%
Price
$409.08
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | QUAYLE DAN | Director | Stock Award | 1,079 | - |
| 2026-04-14 | PARIKH NEHA | Director | Stock Award | 1,142 | - |
| 2026-04-14 | PLATT IRA J | Director | Stock Award | 1,189 | - |
| 2026-04-14 | SULLIVAN GREGORY B | Director | Stock Award | 782 | - |
| 2026-04-14 | MAROONE MICHAEL E | Director | Stock Award | 1,236 | - |
| 2026-04-08 | TAIRA THOMAS | Officer | Sale | 3,770 | $1,285,570 |
| 2026-04-01 | HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD | Chief Operating Officer | Sale | 10,000 | $3,098,592 |
| 2026-04-01 | HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD | Chief Operating Officer | Option Exercise | 10,000 | $100,700 |
| 2026-04-01 | PALMER STEPHEN R | Officer | Sale | 1,000 | $317,500 |
| 2026-04-01 | JENKINS MARK W | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 12,750 | $3,956,945 |
| 2026-04-01 | JENKINS MARK W | Chief Financial Officer | Option Exercise | 12,750 | $223,738 |
| 2026-03-12 | PLATT IRA J | Director | Option Exercise | 10,000 | $150,000 |
| 2026-03-09 | QUAYLE DAN | Director | Sale | 2,900 | $898,913 |
| 2026-03-09 | QUAYLE DAN | Director | Option Exercise | 2,900 | $43,500 |
| 2026-03-09 | TAIRA THOMAS | Officer | Sale | 953 | $309,725 |
QUAYLE DAN
Director
2026-04-14
1,079 shares
PARIKH NEHA
Director
2026-04-14
1,142 shares
PLATT IRA J
Director
2026-04-14
1,189 shares
SULLIVAN GREGORY B
Director
2026-04-14
782 shares
MAROONE MICHAEL E
Director
2026-04-14
1,236 shares
TAIRA THOMAS
Officer
2026-04-08
3,770 shares
·
$1,285,570
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
2026-04-01
10,000 shares
·
$3,098,592
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
2026-04-01
10,000 shares
·
$100,700
PALMER STEPHEN R
Officer
2026-04-01
1,000 shares
·
$317,500
JENKINS MARK W
Chief Financial Officer
2026-04-01
12,750 shares
·
$3,956,945
JENKINS MARK W
Chief Financial Officer
2026-04-01
12,750 shares
·
$223,738
PLATT IRA J
Director
2026-03-12
10,000 shares
·
$150,000
QUAYLE DAN
Director
2026-03-09
2,900 shares
·
$898,913
QUAYLE DAN
Director
2026-03-09
2,900 shares
·
$43,500
TAIRA THOMAS
Officer
2026-03-09
953 shares
·
$309,725
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
SEC Filings
Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database
DEF 14A
10-K
8-K
10-Q
10-Q
10-Q
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
22 analysts
B of A Securities
2026-04-21
Neutral
Neutral
JP Morgan
2026-04-09
Overweight
Overweight
Barclays
2026-04-07
Overweight
Overweight
B of A Securities
2026-04-06
Buy
Neutral
Needham
2026-03-16
Buy
Buy
Citigroup
2026-02-20
Buy
Buy
Barclays
2026-02-20
Overweight
Overweight
DA Davidson
2026-02-19
Neutral
Neutral
JP Morgan
2026-02-19
Overweight
Overweight
RBC Capital
2026-02-19
Outperform
Outperform
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning CVNA from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.